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Risks For Rayale In His Policy Of Abandonment
To Awdal Region |
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ISSUE 131
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Mowliid Magare – Seattle, USA Hargeisa was the middle ground for all the three politically contested parties in the presidential election, but AWDAL and TOGDHEER became the decisive regions. These two regions are proven to be crucial to UDUB and KULMIYE, respectively, for any election for that matter. Though I avoid to be caught in the middle of Somaliland “gutter politics”, I am impelled to write, this time, about the discontent of Awdalians with President Rayale's government, and the cloak of disappointment that hangs over them – which certainly could have an impact on the upcoming parliamentary elections. Much has been said in the local newspapers about Rayale administration ineptness to resolve the debilitating political situation of Seylac district of Awdal. Seylac district is getting politically isolated and seems to be cloistering itself with Djibouti. President Rayale has failed to fully confront the severity of the political crisis facing this region. Months ago, Mr. Abdirahman Abdullahi – Awdal's Regional Commissioner, in his visit to Seylac district for supervision and to foster relations between majority Samaroun and minority Issa in the district, met with stone-throwing demonstrators, spearheaded by the Mayor of Seylac district. Mr. Abdirahman (Awdal's Regional Commissioner), on several occasions, hosted conferences for all district mayors; only Seylac's mayor did not attend these conferences. This defiance is clearly an attempt not to be under the Awdal regional administration. But whether this is a coercion from Djibouti administration or not, remained ambiguous at the time. “President Rayale did not try to solve the conflict. He stood by while it continued to foment,” said one of Awdal elders. Awdal elders and intellectuals at home have shown concern and worry in a letter they sent to the president. In the letter, they had appealed for an immediate attention to the situation and to reprimand Seylac district administration, who they believe are acting as proxy for stirring discontent among the people in the district and whose intentions, have always been to drive a wedge among the clans - who have been peacefully co-existing for centuries in that district. Awdalians have long alleged Djibouti administration's influence in the district, even before Djibouti's minister of interior paid visit to the district. And now, Awdalians has seen this cross-border visit (unofficial) as a pretentious claim to Seylac by Djibouti administration, and a token of an unprecedented cross-border influence to meddle in the internal affairs of an independent Somaliland. Another palpable and bigger issue was the lack of support from Rayale's government to the district of Lughaya, when recently rainfall flooding caused a lot of property and material damage to its residents. Even the road connecting Borama, the capital of Awdal, to Hargeisa district as the ONLY economic aspiration for the region, while the road to Djibouti is unusable, remains a daily challenge for traders, businessmen, and women. Whether Awdalian discontent with Rayale’s government means more votes for Kulmiye and a blow to UDUB remains in question. Awdalians have already shown to be a core UDUB constituency, but if these concerns– still simmering, remain unattended to before the election, I think Awdalian votes will shift away from UDUB party – and that will give Kulmiye chance to defeat Rayale in his own region in the upcoming parliamentary election. I personally view Awdal Region as the pillar to Rayale’s party (UDUB) – and his abandonment policy towards this crucial region as a snub to all Awdalians. “He doesn’t realize how many Awdalians he is thumbing his nose at,” said a friend, who recently returned from Awdal. It is important for President Rayale and his party to avoid having huge turnouts in favor for Kulmiye in this crucial region, if he and his party want to survive. |
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