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“Somalia: Prospects for Lasting Peace and a
Unified Response to Extremism and Terrorism”
Testimony of Dr. J. Peter Pham
Associate Professor of Justice Studies, Political Science, and Africana
Studies and Director of the Nelson Institute for International and
Public Affairs James Madison University
June 25, 2009
House Committee on Foreign Affairs
Subcommittee on Africa and Global Health
Chairman Payne, Congressman Smith, Members of the Subcommittee,
Thank you for the opportunity to speak to you today about the critical
conditions currently prevailing in Somalia and threatening the security
and stability of the entire Horn of Africa.
Permit me the liberty of observing that it is three years almost to the
day since I appeared before the predecessor of this Subcommittee at its
first hearing on the threat of extremism emanating from Somalia and this
body—under your leadership, Mr. Chairman, and that of Mr. Smith—has
maintained consistent vigilance on this important security issue, while
simultaneously upholding the highest standards of respect for human
rights. In particular, as a scholar who closely tracks developments in
this subregion, allow me to add a personal note of appreciation for the
chairman’s leadership in keeping attention focused on issues relating to
the Horn of Africa in general and for bringing about this historic
hearing which brings together in the same forum high representatives of
the Transitional Federal Government of Somalia and the Puntland State of
Somalia as well as His Excellency the Minister of Defense of the
Republic of Uganda.
I regret that the foreign minister of the Republic of Somaliland was
unable to join us to share the experience of his people in avoiding the
very scourges—including extremism, conflict, and piracy—which this
hearing endeavors to examine. While I understand Somalilanders’
sensitivity about any appearance prejudicial to their 1991 declaration
of renewed independence and the delicate nature of the internal politics
of Somaliland as it—alone of all the territories which were part of the
Somali Democratic Republic before the collapse of the Muhammad Siyad
Barre regime—moves its second democratic presidential and parliamentary
elections in just three months, I nonetheless hope that the
representatives of the Republic of Somaliland will provide the
Subcommittee with information on its contribution to security and peace
in the subregion.
CURRENT SITUATION
This hearing convenes at a moment when Somalia is going through yet
another grave crisis, the latest in its two-decade cycle state collapse,
political failure, and, sadly, human suffering.
The various factions of al-Shabaab (“the youth”), an umbrella group that
was formally designated a “foreign terrorist organization” by the U.S.
Department of State last year, and their assorted allies—including the
Hisbul al-Islamiyya (“Islamic party”), a group led by Sheikh Hassan
Dahir ‘Aweys, a figure who appears personally on both United States and
United Nations antiterrorism sanctions lists—have proven themselves more
resilient than many international observers have been willing to admit.
Having in recent months consolidated their control of the area from the
southern suburbs of the capital to the border with Kenya, the Islamist
militants launched an offensive at the beginning of May with the
apparent objective of circling the capital to its north as well. On May
12, al-Shabaab forces took control of Buulobarde, a key town in the
Hiraan region of central Somalia that sits athwart a strategic crossroad
on the principal route from Mogadishu to Ethiopia. On May 17, they
seized control of Jowhar, located 90 kilometers north of Mogadishu, and
its population of 50,000; the town is the capital of the Middle Shabelle
region and had served as a joint administrative capital for the TFG. To
add insult to injury, Jowhar is TFG president Sheikh Sharif Sheikh
Ahmed’s hometown. The following day, May 18, insurgents from Hisbul al-Islamiyya
struck 20 kilometers further north, capturing another strategic town,
Mahaday. Two days later, on May 20, just as it has done previously in
Lower Shabelle, Jubba, and other areas it controlled, al-Shabaab
proclaimed the establishment of a new Islamist administration for Middle
Shabelle, appointing one Sheikh Abdirahman Hassan Hussein as the
governor. The same day, the TFG-aligned mayor of Beledweyne, capital of
Hiraan, Sheikh Aden Omar (Jilibay), hastily resigned, evidently
frightened that his town would be the next one targeted by the
insurgents.
Then, in just the last week, the already-bad security situation has
deteriorated further as Islamist militants, following up on earlier
incursion, brought their offensive into Mogadishu amid fierce fighting.
Over the weekend, the Transitional Federal Government (TFG), reeling
from the loss of several of its more effective members—including
Mogadishu police chief Colonel Ali Said Hassan, security minister
Colonel Omar Aden Hashi, former ambassador to Ethiopia and to the
African Union Abdikarim Farah Laqanyo, and parliamentarian Mohamed
Hussein Addow—appealed through parliament speaker Sheikh Adan Mohamed
Nuur (Madobe) for military support from neighboring countries. On
Monday, the TFG president declared a “state of emergency.” The United
Nations estimates that at least 160,000 people have been displaced in
this latest round of conflict alone.
Now is not the time to assign blame. However, if we are to go forward,
we have to acknowledge the realities on the ground. Notwithstanding the
hopes that accompanied the installation of Sheikh Sharif as TFG
president at the end of January—I would not call the extra-legal
machinations in Djibouti an “election” and, unless we want to hold up
the mockery of TFG’s own charter by the parliamentarians’ awarding of a
two-year extension to themselves as a model for constitutional
government across the region, the legitimacy of the legislature should
be viewed as questionable—the results have been disappointing. With all
due respect to our distinguished guest from the transitional regime, the
TFG is not a government by any common-sense definition of the term: it
is entirely dependent on foreign troops from the African Union Mission
in Somalia (AMISOM) to protect its small enclave within Mogadishu, but
otherwise administers no territory; even within this restricted zone, it
has shown no functional capacity to govern, much less provide even
minimal services to the citizens.
Even if Sheikh Sharif manages to reconcile the TFG’s original secular
framework with its more recent, albeit ill-defined, adoption of shari’a,
the transitional government faces an almost insurmountable deficit of
capacity, accountability, and, thus, credibility. Thanks to the frequent
peregrinations abroad by Sheikh Sharif and members of his government,
more Somalis than ever view the internationally-recognized interim
authorities as little better than foreign puppets—and ineffectual ones
at that. All of the TFG’s “outreach” to date has amounted to pulling in
an occasional warlord or two with bribes paid from funds it has received
from Western or Arab countries. These characters have little interest in
either governance or even security and have stayed “loyal” only so far
as the money is forthcoming. Furthermore, while literally thousands from
the TFG president’s Abgaal sub-clan turned out just two months to sign
up in response to an internationally recruitment drive, more than 90
percent of those who enlisted have since disappeared with their sign-up
bonuses and, more ominously, their weapons, some of which have been
documented as ending up in the hands of insurgents to whom they were
presumably sold. Thus such forces as the TFG nominally has managed to
field in the current fighting would be more accurately described as
those of warlords whose interests, at least for the moment, happen to
align with the interim regime’s.
While this grim recital of just some of the TFG’s shortcomings may seem
gratuitous in light of the mortal peril that it faces at this moment,
the point I am trying to make is that even in what many would view as
the “best-case” scenario coming out of the current crisis—that the TFG
will somehow manage to rally enough support among Somali clans and
communities to push back the current offensive and win itself some
time—the transitional regime is not very well-positioned to win a “long
war” against the insurgency by wooing some of the insurgents and by
defeating or at least marginalizing others, much less to emerge as the
foundation for whatever political settlement Somalis eventually agree
on. I am quite sorry to be unable to offer a more optimistic assessment
of the existent capacity for governance, but reality is what it is and
policy must be constructed on that basis.
THE THREAT OF EXTREMISM AND TERRORISM
The “worst-case” scenario, of course, is that al-Shabaab, Hisbul al-Islamiyya,
and their allies defeat the TFG entirely and assume control of the
capital as well as the bulk of south-central and southern Somalia which
they already loosely control. If this were to happen, it would be a
geopolitical disaster with repercussions rippling well beyond the
borders of Somalia. While comparisons with Taliban-ruled Afghanistan in
the 1990s may be a bit of a stretch, that is not to say that outside
actors ranging from al-Qaeda (which would undoubtedly try to capitalize
at least propaganda-wise on the event) to Ethiopia (which would be
tempted to return in force) to the United States (which would likely
ramp up counterterrorism operations against the emergent threat) will
not treat it as such.
However, it should be noted that even if the insurgents do not defeat
the TFG outright, in many respects they are already a significant threat
to Somalis and others. Whatever the origins and real intent of the
Islamic Courts Union, the Islamist militants currently facing off
against the TFG—as well as against other Somali groups, including
Islamist ones like Ahlu-Sunna wal-Jama’a (roughly, “[Followers of] the
Traditions and Consensus [of the Prophet Muhammad]”), which have risen
up against the distinctly alien doctrines imported alongside foreign
fighters—have clearly been radicalized. Politically, the militants’
campaign of wa’yigelin (“consciousness-raising”)—by which al-Shabaab
means the imposition of its interpretation of Islam on other Somalis—has
won for them few fans among the clans. Recent examples of Shabaab
“awareness efforts” range from the noisome (e.g., the restriction of the
chewing of qat, the narcotic leaf beloved by Somalis, Yemenis, and other
peoples of the subregion, to the outskirts of Baidoa) to the
discriminatory (e.g., the ban on men and women traveling together in the
same public transport conveyances announced at the end of May by al-Shabaab’s
commander in Kismayo, Ahmed Hassan Ali) to the downright brutal (e.g.,
the imposition of hudud punishments like public stoning for alleged
adulteresses in Kismayo and public cross-amputation of the right hand
and left foot to which four unfortunate accused thieves were sentenced
on Monday by a “court” in Shabaab-controlled northern Mogadishu).
Not only do these extremists aspire to control the conduct of the
living, but they also impose themselves on the dead, systematically
desecrating the tombs of saints and other religious figures venerated by
the Sufi turuq (“brotherhoods”), which have traditionally been highly
influential among the Somali. As the foremost contemporary authority on
the Somali, Professor I.M. Lewis of the London School of Economics, has
noted, Sufism has historically been more than a religious preference
among the Somali: “Sufism is particularly well-adapted to Somali social
organization since it enables Somalis (and they are active agents here)
to sacralize their society at all levels of segmentation by
indiscriminately canonizing their lineage ancestors as ‘saints,’
whatever the latters’ actual religious comportment may have been.” Thus,
it is not surprising that incidents like the destruction in late May of
the graves of three such saintly ancestors in Baardheere, in the Gedo
region—an act of iconoclastic vandalism described by the local al-Shabaab
district governor, one Sheikh Abdulqadir Yusuf Qalbi, as “a religious
act”—is profoundly disturbing to most Somalis.
Even without taking Mogadishu, al-Shabaab and its allies have already
succeeded in carving out a geographical space where they and likeminded
jihadist groups can operate freely. For example, the suicide bomber who
killed four South Korean tourists and their local guide near the ancient
fortress city of Shibam in Yemen’s Hadramut (coincidentally, Usama bin
Laden’s ancestral home region) on March 15, Abdel Rahman Mehdi al-Aajbari,
underwent training at a camp in Shabaab-controlled southern Somalia
before returning to his native country to carry out the deadly attack.
The same is believed to be the case with the suicide bomber who, three
days later, hit a convoy carrying the South Korean ambassador and
investigators sent to look into the earlier attack (fortunately, this
time the terrorist, a 20-year-old student, only killed himself). Thus,
even without toppling the TFG, al-Shabaab has already achieved a major
objective of jihadists worldwide by securing a territorial base from
which they can carry out attacks elsewhere, especially against targets
on the Arabian Peninsula.
As if this is not disturbing enough for the United States, even more
unsettling is the fact that a number of young Somali-Americans have left
their homes in Minneapolis and St. Paul, Minnesota, and, reportedly,
other communities, including Columbus, Ohio, and Portland, Maine, to
train in camps in Shabaab-controlled parts of Somalia and, presumably,
fight alongside the militants. One of these men, Shirwa Ahmed, a
naturalized U.S. citizen originally from Somalia whose last known
residence was Minneapolis, Minnesota, became the first-ever American
suicide bomber when he blew himself up in an attack in Somaliland on
October 29, 2008, which left dozens of civilians dead.
One hopeful indicator amidst of this otherwise gloomy landscape has been
that the ideological motivations of al-Shabaab and aligned extremist
movements do not permit them to proceed at a slower speed in their march
through Somali territory and society. Instead, a certain internal
dynamic compels them to keep pushing, even when it might be in their
long-term interests to act with greater circumspection. Militarily, this
temptation to overreach is visible in the relentless advance of the
jihadists whose cause one might argue would be better served by
consolidating their rule in areas they already control while letting the
TFG collapse of its own internal contradictions.
THE CHALLENGE OF PIRACY
The attacks by Somali pirates on merchant shipping in the waters off the
coast of Somalia have added an addition challenge to an already
complicated regional security picture. The marauders have hardly been
cowed by the international naval presence involving warships from the
United States, the United Kingdom, France, Russia, China, India, Japan,
and several other countries which assembled early this year in an
unprecedented effort to prevent a repeat of last year’s wave of more
than one hundred hijackings and other attacks on commercial vessels in
the Gulf of Aden and other waters near the Horn of Africa. The pirates
have simply shifted their operations to areas which they know are not
being patrolled, with strikes increasing taking place on the high seas
of the western Indian Ocean and, as witnessed by the seizure two weeks
ago of a German-owned, Antigua and Barbuda-flagged cargo ship, MV
Charelle, 60 nautical miles south of Sur, Oman, elsewhere.
While the two dozen or so cruisers, destroyers, frigates, and other
surface combat vessels which various countries have dispatched to the
region have made for great political theater and may have even proven
useful in escort duty along narrowly defined sea lanes, there are simply
not enough of them to make a real dent in the operations of the pirates.
And even if there were enough warships to conduct adequate
counter-piracy operations—just to control the more heavily trafficked
shipping lanes in the area would require a force at least twice as large
as currently deployed—it is doubtful that the commitment is sustainable
over the long term. After all, with the bill for just the European Union
Naval Force (EU NAVFOR) anti-piracy Operation Atalanta expected to total
over $300 million this year, how long will the naval powers of the world
tie their assets down in and, in these hard economic times, spend their
increasingly scarce resources on the troubled waters off the Horn of
Africa? As a report by the Canadian Defence and Foreign Affairs
Institute has put it rather succinctly:
If Somali piracy is going to be combated using solely sea-based tactics
it will require a critical mass of warships and their air assets to
maintain a constant presence in the region. It is possible that the
largest and most diverse unplanned gathering of warships in recent
history that is ongoing in [the Gulf of Aden] will constitute such a
critical mass. However, it would be wishful thinking to expect this sort
of a presence to continue for any prolonged period given the cost of
modern naval deployments. [The Gulf of Aden] is a large body of water,
and warships are not a long-term cost effective method of providing
commercial vessels with protection from Somali piracy.
Hence, what is needed is a pragmatic solution that not only deals with
the economic, political, and security challenges caused by the expanded
activities of Somali pirates, but whose costs can be contained within
acceptable limits and whose long-term operation is sustainable by those
with the greatest immediate stake in its success, regional and local
actors as well as merchant vessels which must transit the currently
dangerous waters off Somalia.
In addition to beefing up security on and for merchant
vessels—including, possibly, encouraging them to lower their own overall
costs by pooling their resources to organize escorted convoys—the only
sustainable option currently available for dealing the scourge of Somali
piracy is the stand-up of effective coastal patrols along the Horn of
Africa’s littorals. While I have repeatedly argued that the problem of
Somali lawlessness at sea will only be definitively resolved when the
international community summons up the political will to adequately
address the underlying pathology of de facto Somali statelessness
onshore, the truth is such a process is, as I will note later, literally
a generational undertaking. That does not mean that, fatalistically,
nothing should be done; rather, what needs to be acknowledged is that
while the broader project needs to be attended to, it cannot be expected
to pay immediate dividends in terms of improved security along the
Somali coastline. What can, however, both immediately lessen the current
threat to merchant shipping in the region and contribute to ameliorating
the security situation in support of building governance capabilities
across the territories of the former Somali Democratic Republic is the
establishment of coast guards along the littoral. The idea is one which
was commended by no less a figure than United Nations Secretary-General
Ban Ki-moon when in March he advised the Security Council that:
In the interests of a durable solution to piracy and armed robbery off
the coast of Somalia, it is important that local coast guards in the
region, where possible, are assisted in ways that will enable them to
constructively play a role in anti-piracy efforts conducted off the
coast of Somalia and the surrounding region. As part of a long-term
strategy to promote the closure of pirates’ shore bases and effectively
monitor the coastline, I therefore recommend that Member States consider
strengthening the capacity of the coast guards both in Somalia and the
region.
Coastal patrol forces would not only be more sustainable from the fiscal
point of view, but, precisely because they would concentrate on the
littorals, have a more manageable area of responsibility than the naval
forces which are currently sailing all over the western Indian Ocean.
Moreover a coast guard is within the reach of states in the region as
well as some of the effective authorities in Somalia, including the
governments of the as-yet internationally-unrecognized Republic of
Somaliland and the Puntland autonomous region. The key, as my colleague
Dr. Martin Murphy noted in a Center for Strategic and Budgetary
Assessments paper published earlier this year, is to not get hung up on
questions of the end state of what was once the Somali Democratic
Republic:
A more attractive course of action would find the United States
assembling an effective international coalition that is willing to deal
with Somali sub-state entities in order to reach a more immediate
solution even though this might mean deferring agreement on a unitary
state to a later date. Crucial to any negotiations with such sub-state
entities as Puntland and non-Islamic clan alliances in the south will be
a clear commitment to curb piracy in return for U.S. and allied
political and economic support.
To achieve maximum local support—vital if a sense of local
responsibility is to be engendered and, ultimately, local intelligence
to be obtained—the coast guard must not be viewed as purely an
anti-piracy measure. Given how embedded the piracy is in economies of
certain districts in Somalia, any coastal security force must provide
some positive benefits to those communities if it is to have any chance
at weaning them away from their dependence on criminal enterprises, much
less greater success. This means designing a force capable of
undertaking some classic coast guard functions like protecting natural
resources (even if the “Robin Hood” argument for piracy is something of
a red herring) and maritime rescue. It also requires local anchorage for
the patrol vessels and, where possible, employing local citizens. Along
the Somali littorals, as the coast guard units expand their areas of
operation, they simultaneously expand the geographic spheres of security
and, ultimately, of governance by legitimate authorities. As the latter
grow stronger, one can foresee them assuming greater responsibility for
the trial of pirates, thus reinforcing the message that there is no
impunity for the marauders. There are indications that this type of
local empowerment has great potential: to cite just one example, an ad
hoc local militia composed of fed-up citizens from the fishing
communities of Alula and Bargaal at the very tip of the Horn of Africa
rose up and seized a dozen pirates and three boats (another boat got
away), whom they handed over to Puntland authorities.
In addition to involving local communities in the establishment and
operation of a coast guard, the various units of the force must achieve
relatively significant degree of integration. Eight countries in the
region—Djibouti, Ethiopia, Kenya, Madagascar, Maldives, Seychelles,
Tanzania, and Yemen as well as representatives of the TFG—have already
signed the Code of Conduct concerning the Repression of Piracy and Armed
Robbery against Ships in the western Indian Ocean and the Gulf of Aden
(the “Djibouti Code of Conduct”) promoted by the International Maritime
Organization to facilitate regional coordination. What these states
lacked were not only the material resources—now forthcoming—to recruit,
train, and equip more robust coastal security forces, but the knowledge
and experience to actually do so. This is precisely where properly
qualified and licensed private firms, working with both donor states and
local partners, can provide not only invaluable expertise, but also
“good offices” to help bridge the various interests of the multiple
governmental, corporate, and other stakeholders.
For the sake of the record, allow me to add just three final
observations about the pirates themselves.
First, there are some who argue that the pirates are fishermen whose
livelihoods were wrecked by illegal commercial fishing and toxic waste
disposal off the coast of Somalia. Without denying those two phenomena
were issues of concern, especially in the early-to-mid-1990s, the fact
is that from what we know of the pirates, most do not actually come from
fishing backgrounds. Moreover, not only are the pirate gangs are
highly-organized criminal enterprises and not just spontaneous groups of
unemployed fishermen, most of the attacks nowadays are taking place well
beyond not just the limit of 12 nautical miles which the United Nations
Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS) fixes for any country’s
territorial waters, but also the 200 nautical miles from shore which the
treaty allows for a state’s exclusive economic zone. Quite simply, you
can hardly claim to be defending Somali waters when, for example, you
are raiding 550 nautical miles east of the Kenyan port of Mombasa, as
the eleven-member crew that was thwarted and captured by the French navy
while attacking a Liberian-registered cargo ship in mid-April was doing.
Second, another canard that needs to be refuted is the belief when the
Islamic Courts Union briefly held power in most of Somalia in the second
half of 2006, it fought piracy. There is only one instance where the
Islamist forces did anything that could even remotely be characterized
as a counter-piracy operation. On November 8, 2006, Islamic Courts Union
militia stormed the United Arab Emirates-registered cargo ship MV
Veesham I, which had been hijacked off Adale, north of Mogadishu on the
Somali coast, and arrested its captors. The boat had been hauling a load
of charcoal from El Maan, Somalia, to Dubai when it was attacked by
pirates. The operation, however, had little to do with any principled
opposition to piracy and quite a bit to do with the fact that the owner
of the Veesham was one of the key financial backers of the Islamist
movement and that his contribution to its coffers would be affected if
he lost his vessel and cargo to the pirates.
Third, the international community needs to search for a sustainable
mechanism for bringing captured pirates to justice while both respecting
their basic rights and not destabilizing the region. Hauling the
prisoners before the courts of a willing third-party state like Kenya,
which has signed memoranda of understanding with the United Kingdom, the
United States, the European Union, and the People’s Republic of China to
receive and prosecute suspected pirates, is simply not a wise long-term
approach, even if that country’s new Merchant Shipping Act (which
delineates the jurisdiction of the country’s courts over
extra-territorial acts of piracy and brings its norms up to date with
international standards), passed by parliament in February were not
still languishing on President Mwai Kibaki’s desk, yet another casualty
of the poisonous partisan politics which have continued to bedevil
Nairobi even after a government of national unity was installed in the
wake of last year’s tragic post-electoral violence. In any event, while
Kenya might serve as a convenient forum for adjudicating the occasional
maritime brigandage, the East African country’s judiciary is simply not
capable of processing the large number of pirates currently being
captured. And even if the Kenyan courts were able to cope with all the
new cases, the country has its own restive ethnic Somali and Muslim
populations whose preexisting sense of alienation from the rest of the
body politic is hardly going to be assuaged by a seemingly endless
parade of accused Somalis, almost all of whom will be Muslims. Moreover,
trying large numbers of Somalis in the courts of a neighboring country
might well permit the pirate syndicates, who have shown themselves quite
clever in their use of public relations, to wrap themselves up in the
mantle of Somali nationalism and thus broaden their base of support
beyond the thousands of individuals already benefiting, directly or
indirectly, from the extensive economic networks which make up the
piracy business.
GOING FORWARD
United States policy toward Somalia has veered from neglect in the late
1990s to an emphasis on “kinetic” counterterrorism operations in the
aftermath of 9/11 and especially after the Ethiopian intervention
“flushed out” some of the terrorists long sought by American security
officials. Even if justifiable in individual cases, the use of “hard
power” has bred resentment and allowed radical forces to wrap themselves
up in the mantle of Somali nationalism, undermining our broader
strategic objective of countering radicalization, to say nothing of
humanitarian norms.
More recently, even as the situation has gone from bad to worse to
worst, presenting the entire Horn of Africa with a security crisis of
the first order, spreading instability across a fragile subregion and
raising the specter that transnational terrorist networks like al-Qaeda
will find and exploit the opportunities thus offered, the approach of
the international community and apparently the policy of the United
States has become ensnared in what is essentially a circular “logic.”
For want of better ideas, the international community has opted to buy
into a seductive, but nonetheless vicious, circle of its own manufacture
whereby it must “stay the course” and continue to devote scarce
political and material resources almost exclusively to shoring up the
TFG because it has already invested too much time and resources into the
regime to do otherwise.
If the failure so far of no fewer than fourteen
internationally-sponsored attempts at establishing a national government
indicates anything, it is the futility of the notion that outsiders can
impose a regime on Somalia, even if it is staffed with presumably
moderate Somalis. Instead, in the context of the decentralized reality
among the Somali, we—the concerned international community in general
and the United States in particular—need to invest the time and
resources to seek out local partners who can, first of all, work with us
in creating a modicum of stability—societal, economic, and, ultimately,
governmental. This will not be an easy task since the conflict of recent
years has taken its toll on civil society. Nonetheless local groups
exist do exist: SAACID, the extraordinary nongovernmental organization
founded and directed by Somali women, engaged in conflict
transformation, women’s empowerment, education, healthcare, emergency
relief, employment schemes, and development, comes to mind. Amid the
current crisis, SAACID is providing 80,000 2,000-calorie meals daily to
residents of Mogadishu.
I would venture to say that a broad consensus is emerging among experts
who have tracked Somalia for any amount of time that any workable
solution must embrace a “bottom-up” or “building-block” approach rather
than the hitherto “top-down” strategy. Moreover, given the ripple
effects of continuing disorder in the Somali lands, in addition to
relations with functional parts of the TFG, it makes no sense for the
international community to not work with effective authorities in the
Republic of Somaliland, Puntland State, the province of Gedo, and other
areas as well seek to engage with traditional leaders and civil society
actors elsewhere. These figures both enjoy legitimacy with the populace
and have actual (as opposed to notional) security and economic
development agendas which complement the outside world’s goal of
preventing chaos from reigning in Somali territory.
With respect to intervening in Somalia, while I salute the courage and
determination of the Ugandan People’s Defense Force peacekeepers who
have deployed as part of AMISOM in addition to the Burundian troops and
I fully cognizant the concerns of Somalia’s immediate neighbors like
Ethiopia and Kenya, I would argue that the legitimate security interests
of the countries in the region can best be met not by their becoming
embroiled in the Somali conflict where their support for the TFG has
itself become a nationalist rallying point for the insurgents. Rather, I
would argue that African resources might best be put to work containing
the spread of the instability from Somalia and preventing additional
foreign fighters and supplies from fueling the conflict in the country.
I readily acknowledge that an approach such as the one I have sketched
out may strike many as minimalist. However, I was convinced and am even
more certain today that it was the course most likely to buy Somalis
themselves the space within which to make their own determinations about
their future while at the same time allowing the rest of the world,
especially the countries of the Horn of Africa, to achieve their
legitimate security objectives. Thus, not only does the strategy offer
the most realistic hope of salvaging a modicum of regional stability and
international security out of a situation that otherwise grows
increasingly intractable with each passing day
Mr. Chairman, Ranking Member Smith, Members of the Subcommittee,
Again I am grateful for the opportunity to come before you today and I
look forward to responding to your questions.
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